July 7 Prediction: Odorizzi Continues Inconsistency Ahead of Pomeranz Match-up

The Tampa Bay Rays will put Jake Odorizzi (5-3, 4.08 ERA, 1.25 WHIP) to the test as he continues to battle his propensity to give up dingers. He will face Boston Red Sox’s Drew Pomeranz (8-4, 3.64 ERA, 1.32 WHIP) in their second game in a four-game match-up at Tropicana Field ahead of the All-Star Game.

 

Pitchers

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Jake Odorizzi, Photo Credit: MLB

 

Odorizzi picked up a win in his last game despite allowing five hits, three runs, two walks, and a homer against the Baltimore Orioles. He’s allowed at least one homerun in each of his last 11 games, the longest streak since James Shields allowed one homer in 12 consecutive games in 2006.

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Drew Pomeranz, Photo Credit: MLB

 

While Pomeranz is performing well lately, he only allowed five hits, two walks, and one run in his latest win over the Toronto Blue Jays.  The starting pitcher hasn’t allowed more than two runs since June 11 and no homers were struck against him since June 16.

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Batting

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Boston Red Sox vs Odorizzi, Photo Credit: MLB

 

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Dustin Pedroia, Photo Credit: MLB

 

Sox’s Tzu-Wei Lin (.333/.419/.481, .901 OPS) and Xander Bogaerts with six runs on nine hits in 24 at bats against Odorizzi are potential threats to the Rays’ chances of winning. But if there was anyone on the Sox’s lineup who continues to be Odorizzi’s worst nightmare then that’s Dustin Pedroia. Pedroia has four runs, 11 hits, and two homers in 27 at bats with a .407/.429/.704 line and a 1.132 OPS against Odorizzi.

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Tampa Bay Rays vs Pomeranz, Photo Credit: MLB

 

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Tim Beckham, Photo Credit: MLB

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For the Rays, Tim Beckham is their best option against the Sox’s starting pitcher. The batter has three runs, two hits, and one homer in four at bats against Pomeranz while posting a .500/.667/1.250 stat line and a 1.917 OPS.

Prediction

Couple Odorizzi’s pitching problems with the Rays’ batting difficulties against Pomeranz and you’d have a recipe for disaster. If the Sox’s batters could take advantage of Odorizzi’s inconsistency, it should be foregone conclusion.

Projected Winner: Boston Red Sox

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