July 14 Prediction: Cole Hosts Leake, Open 2nd Half

Photo Credit: WTAE

 

Pittsburgh Pirates’ Gerrit Cole (7-7, 4.43 ERA) is coming off a decent win against the Philadelphia Phillies in his last game for the first half of the season. While St. Louis Cardinals’ Mike Leake (6-7, 3.12 ERA) received a loss on their home field against the Miami Marlins recently. They will face off in their first game after the All-Star break at PNC Park.

 

Pitchers

Cole

Gerrit Cole, Photo Credit: MLB

 

Cole had a respectable game against the Phillies, giving up seven hits, two runs, and one homer in six innings with eight strikeouts. He’s won four of his last five games with a victory against the Cards last June 24, giving up five hits, one run, and one homer in six frames.

 

Leake.jpg
Mike Leake, Photo Credit: MLB

 

On the other hand, Leake’s last game against the Marlins was easily the worst performance he’s delivered this year. He gave up 10 hits while allowing a season high in runs (8) and homers (3) in 3.2 innings. However, he did have one win against the Bucs, allowing seven hits and one run while having a lone strikeout, but that was way back on April 18.

 

Batters

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St. Louis Cardinals vs Cole, Photo Credit: MLB

 

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Matt Carpenter, Photo Credit: MLB

Cardinals’ Matt Carpenter seems to give Cole the most problems from St. Louis’ lineup. He’s had seven runs, 12 hits, and four homers in 32 at bats against the righty. The left-handed batter (.237/.378/.449, .827 OPS) is having his worst statistical season in his career since his rookie season but he’s done well against Cole.

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Leake, Photo Credit: MLB

 

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David Freese, Photo Credit: MLB

As for the Pirates, David Freese has had the most success against Leake. He’s had nine runs, 16 hits, and one homer in 34 at bats against the Cards’ starting pitcher. However, he’s also having the worst year of his career (.244/.374/.362, .736 OPS) while he hasn’t had any success against Leake this season with only one hit in six at bats.

Prediction

Cole is having a down year so far while Leake is having one of the best seasons he’s ever had. The Bucs’ starting pitcher has had more runs (55 vs Leake’s 45) and homers (19 vs Leake’s 12) than his opponent so, that might be a problem if the Pirates are aspiring for a win especially since no one in their batting lineup has even hit .300 for the year.

Projected Winner: St. Louis Cardinals

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