August 5 Prediction – Can Lugo Defend Against Hill?

Photo Credit: MLB Youtube

Los Angeles Dodgers’ Rich Hill (8-4, 3.35 ERA) will go head to head against New York Mets’ Seth Lugo (5-3, 4.53 ERA) at Citi Field. Can Lugo stop Hill’s winning streak, or will Hill dominate once again?

Pitchers

Rich Hill, Photo Credit: MLB

Hill is on a roll with a five-game winning streak; his last defeat was two months ago against their interleague rivals, the Angels. He has only allowed 59 hits, 30 runs and eight homers while striking out 90 batters in over 78 innings this season. Plus, he is a consistent pitcher who can handle both home (5-3, 3.19 ERA) and away games (3-1, 3.60 ERA).

Seth Lugo, Photo Credit: MLB

On the other hand, Lugo was able to strike out 39 batters while giving up 65 hits, 32 runs, and eight dingers in over 57.2 frames this season. The Mets usually pick him to play on the road (4-2, 5.36 ERA) but he plays better at home (1-1, 3.15 ERA). Plus, he is a better pitcher against lefties (3.86 ERA) than right handed batters (5.27 ERA).

Batters

Photo Credit: MLB

Justin Turner, Photo Credit: MLB

Moving on to the batters’ side, Justin Turner (.346/ .443/ .526, .968 OPS) is still the Dodgers’ best batter with a record for the best batting average (.346) and OBP (.443). This season, he was able to get 100 hits, 45 runs and 11 homers while getting struck out 35 times in over 289 at bats. Plus, he is a precise batter against right handed pitchers (.319 AVG).

Photo Credit: MLB

Curtis Granderson, Photo Credit: UIC News Center

Meanwhile, in Curtis Granderson’s latest game, he was able to get a homer that gave the Mets an eight to five lead on the top of the 6th against the Colorado Rockies. He was also able to get two hits, one run, and a dinger without getting struck out in over three at bats against the Dodgers’ starter last June 21.

Prediction

Hill was able to face the Mets last June 21, when he only conceded four hits, one run, and a homer while getting eight batters struck out in over five frames. The Mets’ current batting lineup has a .200/ .304/ .400, and a .704 OPS against him. Plus, this will be the first time Lugo will pitch against the Dodgers. The only advantage the Mets have is they will play at home.

Projected Winner

Los Angeles Dodgers

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